Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Draft Targets: The Vanderbilt Connection

Fan euphoria surrounding the enormous potential of Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler has been a near-ubiquitous theme at blogs, message boards, and fan sites since we drafted him 11th overall in 2006. What's not to love? In 2007, Cutler tied Payton Manning for the 3rd fewest interceptions among 16-game starters, boasted a respectable 7.5 YPA, and completed over 63% of his passes. Given Denver's overwhelming success with the Vanderbilt alumni, it comes as no surprise to hear that Denver will take a serious look at Cutler's blind-side tackle Chris Williams and favorite target Earl Bennett.

I'd be lying if I said that I shared Broncos fans' infatuation with Bennett and Williams. I think the Williams is a top-shelf talent at tackle--particularly when one considers his competition; however, I'm not overly-excited about spending a 12th overall pick to grab him. Also, I disagree with the assertion that Denver has a desperate need for help at offensive tackle.

In Bennett's case, I don't see a player that evolves into a dominant NFL receiver. His build and technical competencies suggest that he could push a guy like Stokley out of the slot, but many doubt he has the speed to get consistent separation and he doesn't show much flash after the catch. He doesn't have the height to win battles for deep balls and doesn't have elite speed. Bennett's work ethic, character, and relationship with Cutler are intriguing, but ultimately I don't think there's enough to this guy to warrant second round consideration. In short, I like a lot of other receivers better.

Instead of Williams or Bennett, I am going to suggest that Denver takes a long look at another quarterback from Vanderbilt in this years draft. Namely, the quarterback of their defense, ILB Jonathan Goff. Goff is a mean, hard-hitting linebacker with outstanding range. There are zero off-the-field issues, injuries, or other baggage on his resume. Goff is a little stiff in interviews, but he's well spoken and intelligent. On the field, his energy is infectious.

Goff's combine workout bested all of his peers at inside linebacker. He was one of two players to complete the cone drill in under 7 seconds, he had the best time in the 60-yard shuttle, and he missed the best 20-yard shuttle time by 5/100th's of a second. Goff was the strongest inside linebacker with 28 reps, his broad jump was second best, and his 31.5" vertical was third best. Only Jerrod Mayo and Tavares Gooden bested his 4.68 40-time. You won't find a more well-rounded performance in this draft.

At 6'2" 245 lbs. Goff also has the distinction of being the biggest inside linebacker in this year's draft. Many scouts are concerned that he lacks ideal lower body strength. With a 6'2" frame, however, he has the ability to add additional mass. After adding Niko in the off season, Denver can certainly afford to give Goff at least year to pack on some muscle and contribute on special teams.

Goff is technically well rounded. He's a fantastic tackler and shows great closing speed. He takes efficient angles to the ball carrier and shows great lateral agility. In coverage, he's effective in read-and-react zone coverage. He had only 2 interceptions at Vanderbilt but displays above-average ball skills. He probably doesn't have the speed to be elite in man-to-man coverage and would probably struggle against AFC tight ends (further illuminating our need to find an elite strong safety).

From top to bottom, its hard to find a more complete option at middle linebacker available in this year's draft. Rivals has him rated the 100th best player in the draft, which makes him a 4th rounder; ESPN seems to think he'll go in the 6th; and Pro Football Weekly projects him at the bottom of the 6th round. Even for 4th round money, I think Goff is a steal on draft day. I still like Curtis Lofton as an overall prospect, but based on his draft position, Goff is a better value.

Here's a video of Goff for those who are interested:

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